Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Al Qadsia to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Qadsia to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceAl Qadsia or draw ✗87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.06
Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Al Qadsia take on Al Arabi on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Mohammed Al Hamad Stadium. Al Qadsia are 2nd with 15 points from 7 games (in the top four), while Al Arabi sit 6th on 12 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Qadsia's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Al Shabab 4–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Arabi's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Al Fahaheel 2–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Al Qadsia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 June 2026, finished Al Arabi 2–0 Al Qadsia. Across their last 2 meetings Al Qadsia have won 0, Al Arabi 1, with 1 draw and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Al Qadsia and 0.9 for Al Arabi. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 52% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Qadsia 61%, draw 26%, Al Arabi 13%.
Safer route: Al Qadsia or draw (87%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Al Qadsia to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Qadsia or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Qadsia 2–0 Al Arabi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Qadsia61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.30
Al Arabi13%fair 7.47 · @3.30
2.91Expected goals
2.01Al Qadsia xG
0.90Al Arabi xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al Qadsia 2.0 – 0.9 Al Arabi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al Qadsia or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi?
On our numbers Al Qadsia have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Al Arabi 13%.
How many goals will there be in Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi?
Our predicted score is Al Qadsia 2–0 Al Arabi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi?
Al Qadsia vs Al Arabi (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Mohammed Al Hamad Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
