Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.67 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Nasar to win ✓57% · @1.80
Double chanceAl Nasar or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.00
Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon preview and prediction
The match
Al Tadhamon travel to Ali Al-Salem Al-Sabah Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 18 October (17:55 WAT) to face Al Nasar. Al Nasar are 5th with 13 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Al Tadhamon sit 10th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Al Nasar's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Al Kuwait 1–7 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Al Tadhamon's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Al Qadsia 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Al Nasar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Al Tadhamon 1–1 Al Nasar.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.3 for Al Nasar and 1.4 for Al Tadhamon. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Nasar 57%, draw 23%, Al Tadhamon 21%.
Safer route: Al Nasar or draw (79%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.67 – 65% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Nasar or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Al Nasar 2–1 Al Tadhamon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Nasar57%fair 1.76 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.10
Al Tadhamon21%fair 4.87 · @3.80
3.75Expected goals
2.35Al Nasar xG
1.40Al Tadhamon xG
65%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–06%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Al Nasar 2.3 – 1.4 Al Tadhamon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon?
Our pick is Al Nasar or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon?
On our numbers Al Nasar have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al Tadhamon 21%.
How many goals will there be in Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon?
Our predicted score is Al Nasar 2–1 Al Tadhamon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon?
Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 17:55 (West Africa Time) at Ali Al-Salem Al-Sabah Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
