Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Shimshon Tel Aviv or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Shimshon Tel Aviv to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShimshon Tel Aviv to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceShimshon Tel Aviv or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.86
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Alef sees Shimshon Tel Aviv take on Holon Yermiyahu on Thursday 17 September, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT). Shimshon Tel Aviv are 7th with 30 points from 22 games (in the top half), while Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th on 24 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Shimshon Tel Aviv's last 4: DWWD Most recently they drew with Hapoel Hadera 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Holon Yermiyahu's last 4: WDDW Most recently they beat Hapoel Marmorek 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.4 for Shimshon Tel Aviv and 0.7 for Holon Yermiyahu. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Shimshon Tel Aviv or draw (79%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Shimshon Tel Aviv to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Shimshon Tel Aviv or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Shimshon Tel Aviv 1–0 Holon Yermiyahu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shimshon Tel Aviv58%fair 1.72 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
Holon Yermiyahu21%fair 4.79 · @3.50
2.13Expected goals
1.44Shimshon Tel Aviv xG
0.69Holon Yermiyahu xG
42%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–012%
0–012%
1–112%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Shimshon Tel Aviv 1.4 – 0.7 Holon Yermiyahu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shimshon Tel Aviv to win✓
58%
1.72
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Shimshon Tel Aviv or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shimshon Tel Aviv / FT Shimshon Tel Aviv✓
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.86
–
Form
Shimshon Tel Aviv – last 4
DWWD
9 Sep
@ Hapoel Hadera
2–2
D
3 Sep
vs Ironi Beit Shemesh
2–0
W
26 Feb
vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
4–2
W
19 Feb
vs Kfar Saba 1928
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Holon Yermiyahu – last 4
WDDW
9 Sep
vs Hapoel Marmorek
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Maccabi Yavne
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Beitar Yavne
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimshon Tel Aviv and Holon Yermiyahu.
What is the prediction for Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu?
Our pick is Shimshon Tel Aviv or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu?
On our numbers Shimshon Tel Aviv have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Holon Yermiyahu 21%.
How many goals will there be in Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu?
Our predicted score is Shimshon Tel Aviv 1–0 Holon Yermiyahu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu?
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu (Liga Alef) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hapoel Hadera1
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda0
Hapoel Sderot1