Value bet: Tira to win @ 2.81 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTira to win ✗40% · @2.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.07
Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Alef sees Tira take on Hapoel Nazareth Illit on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 11:40 (WAT).
Form guide
Tira's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Hapoel Beit Shean 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Beitar Nahariya 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Tira and 1.3 for Hapoel Nazareth Illit. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 62%.
Value angle: Tira to win at 2.81 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Tira 1–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tira40%fair 2.49 · @2.81
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.28
Hapoel Nazareth Illit37%fair 2.71 · @2.17
2.75Expected goals
1.41Tira xG
1.34Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Tira 1.4 – 1.3 Hapoel Nazareth Illit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tira to win✗
40%
2.49
2.81 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.63
1.66
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tira / FT Tira✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.07
–
Form
Tira – last 6
DLWWWW
30 Oct
@ Hapoel Beit Shean
0–0
D
26 Oct
@ Hapoel Acre
0–5
L
22 Oct
vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
2–0
W
19 Oct
@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1–0
W
12 Oct
vs Maccabi Ma'alot Tarshiha
3–2
W
8 Oct
vs Ironi Nesher
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit – last 6
WLDDWW
31 Oct
vs Beitar Nahariya
2–0
W
28 Oct
vs Maccabi Yavne
1–2
L
23 Oct
@ Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
3–3
D
16 Oct
@ Hapoel Beit Shean
1–1
D
12 Oct
vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
4–0
W
8 Oct
@ Ironi Baka El Garbiya
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tira and Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
What is the prediction for Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
On our numbers Tira have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hapoel Nazareth Illit 37%.
How many goals will there be in Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our predicted score is Tira 1–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Tira vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 11:40 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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