Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 1 Oct 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultHapoel Ironi Karmiel to win ✗47% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.23

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.93

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel preview and prediction

The match

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel travel to face Hapoel Umm al-Fahm in the Liga Alef on Thursday 1 October (17:30 WAT). Hapoel Umm al-Fahm are 16th with 11 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Hapoel Ironi Karmiel sit 5th on 33 points (in the top half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with Ironi Baka El Garbiya 3–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Ironi Nesher 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm and 1.7 for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 33%, draw 21%, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 47%.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1–2 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm33%fair 3.05 · @2.90

Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.40

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel47%fair 2.15 · @2.10

3.11Expected goals

1.39Hapoel Umm al-Fahm xG

1.71Hapoel Ironi Karmiel xG

51%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%

1–29%

0–18%

2–17%

0–27%

2–26%

From our goals model: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1.4 – 1.7 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel to win ✗	47%	2.15	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	79%	1.26	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	51%	1.95	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	82%	1.23	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.78	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	62%	1.60	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	39%	2.58	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Hapoel Ironi Karmiel / FT Hapoel Ironi Karmiel ✗	27%	3.66	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.93	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel to win ✗

47%

2.15

2.10

Double chance

Either team to win ✗

79%

1.26

1.25

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

51%

1.95

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✗

82%

1.23

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✗

56%

1.78

1.80

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

62%

1.60

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✓

39%

2.58

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Hapoel Ironi Karmiel / FT Hapoel Ironi Karmiel ✗

27%

3.66

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–2 ✗

10.93

–

Form

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Umm al-Fahm and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel.

Liga Alef table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	21	15	3	3	+27	48
2	Tira	22	13	3	6	+19	42
3	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik	22	10	8	4	+14	38
4	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	22	10	6	6	+5	36
5	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	22	9	6	7	+7	33
6	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	21	9	6	6	0	33
7	Hapoel Beit Shean	22	8	8	6	+1	32
8	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	22	8	7	7	+6	31
9	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	22	9	4	9	+3	31
10	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	22	8	6	8	+4	30
11	Ironi Nesher	22	8	5	9	-9	29
12	Tzeirey Tamra	22	7	3	12	-15	24
13	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	22	5	6	11	-9	21
14	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	21	4	5	12	-20	17
15	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	21	3	3	15	-26	12
16	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	22	6	5	11	-7	11

Team

Pts

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

+27

Tira

+19

Maccabi K. Ata Bialik

+14

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan

Ironi Baka El Garbiya

-9

-15

-9

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed

-20

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

-26

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

-7

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?

On our numbers Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 47%.

How many goals will there be in Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?

Our predicted score is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1–2 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (Liga Alef) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

19 Sep	vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya	3–3	D
9 Sep	@ Tzeirey Tamra	2–1	W
5 Sep	vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit	2–2	D

23 Sep	vs Ironi Nesher	1–1	D
19 Sep	@ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	1–1	D
10 Sep	vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus	3–0	W
4 Sep	@ Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt	3–1	W
27 Feb	vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba	1–2	L
19 Feb	@ Tira	0–0	D

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes