Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Ironi Nesher to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIroni Nesher to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceIroni Nesher or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 14.04
Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm preview and prediction
The match
Ironi Nesher host Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm in the Liga Alef on Friday 18 September, with kick-off at 09:50 (WAT). Ironi Nesher are 11th with 29 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th on 30 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ironi Nesher's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Ironi Baka El Garbiya 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Ironi Nesher and 0.9 for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Ironi Nesher to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ironi Nesher 1–0 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ironi Nesher62%fair 1.61 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.50
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm17%fair 5.72 · @3.60
2.79Expected goals
1.91Ironi Nesher xG
0.88Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm xG
49%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Ironi Nesher 1.9 – 0.9 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ironi Nesher to win✓
62%
1.61
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Ironi Nesher or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Ironi Nesher ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ironi Nesher / FT Ironi Nesher✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
14.04
–
Form
Ironi Nesher – last 5
WWDLW
9 Sep
@ Ironi Baka El Garbiya
2–0
W
4 Sep
vs Tzeirey Tamra
6–1
W
27 Feb
vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya
0–0
D
19 Feb
@ Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0–3
L
13 Feb
vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm – last 5
DDLWW
10 Sep
vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
2–1
W
13 Feb
vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ironi Nesher and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm.
What is the prediction for Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
Our pick is Ironi Nesher to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
On our numbers Ironi Nesher have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
Our predicted score is Ironi Nesher 1–0 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 09:50 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.