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Liga Alef · Israel
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FT

Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Ironi Nesher to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultIroni Nesher to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceIroni Nesher or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 14.04

Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm preview and prediction

The match

Ironi Nesher host Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm in the Liga Alef on Friday 18 September, with kick-off at 09:50 (WAT). Ironi Nesher are 11th with 29 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th on 30 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Ironi Nesher's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Ironi Baka El Garbiya 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Ironi Nesher and 0.9 for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 49%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Ironi Nesher to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ironi Nesher 1–0 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Ironi Nesher62%fair 1.61 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.50
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm17%fair 5.72 · @3.60
2.79Expected goals
1.91Ironi Nesher xG
0.88Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm xG
49%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Ironi Nesher 1.9 – 0.9 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIroni Nesher to win ✓62%1.611.80 ▲
Double chanceIroni Nesher or draw ✓83%1.211.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.871.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.44–
Half-time resultIroni Nesher ahead at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ironi Nesher / FT Ironi Nesher ✓39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7%14.04–

Form

Ironi Nesher – last 5

WWDLW
9 Sep@ Ironi Baka El Garbiya2–0W
4 Sepvs Tzeirey Tamra6–1W
27 Febvs Ironi Baka El Garbiya0–0D
19 Feb@ Hapoel Migdal HaEmek0–3L
13 Febvs Hapoel Ironi Arraba3–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm – last 5

DDLWW
10 Sepvs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan1–1D
6 Sep@ Hapoel Bnei Musmus0–0D
27 Febvs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan1–2L
20 Feb@ Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed2–1W
13 Febvs Ironi Baka El Garbiya1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ironi Nesher and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm.

Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm head-to-head page →

Liga Alef table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Ahi Nazareth211533+2748
2Tira221336+1942
3Maccabi K. Ata Bialik221084+1438
4Maccabi Neve Sha'anan221066+536
5Hapoel Ironi Karmiel22967+733
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus21966033
7Hapoel Beit Shean22886+132
8Hapoel Migdal HaEmek22877+631
9Ironi Baka El Garbiya22949+331
10Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm22868+430
11Ironi Nesher22859-929
12Tzeirey Tamra227312-1524
13Hapoel Ironi Arraba225611-921
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed214512-2017
15Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel213315-2612
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm226511-711

More Liga Alef predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?

Our pick is Ironi Nesher to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?

On our numbers Ironi Nesher have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 17%.

How many goals will there be in Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?

Our predicted score is Ironi Nesher 1–0 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?

Ironi Nesher vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 09:50 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.