Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.52
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Alef sees Hapoel Umm al-Fahm take on Ironi Baka El Garbiya on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Hapoel Umm al-Fahm are 16th with 11 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Ironi Baka El Garbiya sit 9th on 31 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ironi Baka El Garbiya's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Ironi Nesher 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.5 for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm and 1.1 for Ironi Baka El Garbiya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 47%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 2.00. Predicted score: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm49%fair 2.05 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Ironi Baka El Garbiya30%fair 3.29 · @2.90
2.52Expected goals
1.45Hapoel Umm al-Fahm xG
1.06Ironi Baka El Garbiya xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1.5 – 1.1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm to win✗
49%
2.05
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Umm al-Fahm / FT Hapoel Umm al-Fahm✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.52
–
Form
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm – last 2
WD
9 Sep
@ Tzeirey Tamra
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ironi Baka El Garbiya – last 5
LDDLL
9 Sep
vs Ironi Nesher
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
0–0
D
27 Feb
@ Ironi Nesher
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
0–3
L
13 Feb
@ Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Umm al-Fahm and Ironi Baka El Garbiya.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
On our numbers Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ironi Baka El Garbiya 30%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya (Liga Alef) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tzeirey Tira
Dimona