Value bet: Bali United to win @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBali United to win ✓61% · @1.77
Double chanceBali United or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.58
Bali United vs PSS Sleman preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 1 sees Bali United take on PSS Sleman on Friday 4 September, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium. Bali United are 3rd with 19 points from 9 games (in the top four), while PSS Sleman sit 16th on 5 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bali United's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Persib Bandung 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
PSS Sleman's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat PSIS Semarang 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
PSS Sleman arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Bali United and 0.7 for PSS Sleman. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bali United 61%, draw 23%, PSS Sleman 15%.
Safer route: Bali United or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Bali United to win at 1.77 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bali United 1–0 PSS Sleman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bali United61%fair 1.64 · @1.77
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.30
PSS Sleman15%fair 6.48 · @4.33
2.42Expected goals
1.70Bali United xG
0.72PSS Sleman xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Bali United 1.7 – 0.7 PSS Sleman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bali United to win✓
61%
1.64
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Bali United or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bali United / FT Bali United✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.58
–
Form
Bali United – last 6
LWWLLW
18 Aug
@ Persib Bandung
2–3
L
22 May
@ Dewa United
1–0
W
17 May
vs Bhayangkara FC
4–1
W
11 May
vs Pusamania Borneo
2–3
L
5 May
@ Persepam Madura Utd
0–2
L
27 Apr
vs PSM Makassar
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
PSS Sleman – last 6
WDWWDW
3 May
vs PSIS Semarang
3–0
W
26 Apr
@ Persiba Balikpapan
1–1
D
20 Apr
vs Persiku Kudus
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Persipal
7–0
W
29 Mar
@ Tornado Pekanbaru
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Persela Lamongan
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bali United and PSS Sleman.
What is the prediction for Bali United vs PSS Sleman?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bali United vs PSS Sleman?
On our numbers Bali United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and PSS Sleman 15%.
How many goals will there be in Bali United vs PSS Sleman?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bali United vs PSS Sleman?
Our predicted score is Bali United 1–0 PSS Sleman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bali United vs PSS Sleman?
Bali United vs PSS Sleman (Liga 1) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
