Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21 preview and prediction
The match
Burnley U21 host Aston Villa U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Burnley FC Training Centre. Burnley U21 are 27th with 4 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Aston Villa U21 sit 20th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Burnley U21's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Preston North End U21 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Aston Villa U21's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Crewe 1–4 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.9 for Burnley U21 and 2.1 for Aston Villa U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Burnley U21 36%, draw 19%, Aston Villa U21 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.30.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Burnley U21 1–2 Aston Villa U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Burnley U2136%fair 2.79 · @2.75
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @3.70
Aston Villa U2145%fair 2.22 · @2.05
4.00Expected goals
1.88Burnley U21 xG
2.12Aston Villa U21 xG
70%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Burnley U21 1.9 – 2.1 Aston Villa U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aston Villa U21 to win✓
45%
2.22
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Aston Villa U21 ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aston Villa U21 / FT Aston Villa U21✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.93
–
Form
Burnley U21 – last 6
DWLWLL
9 Oct
vs Preston North End U21
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Derby County U21
4–1
W
14 Sep
@ Nottingham Forest U21
0–1
L
8 Sep
@ Fleetwood Town U21
2–1
W
28 Aug
vs Reading U21
1–3
L
21 Aug
@ Fulham U21
3–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Aston Villa U21 – last 6
LDWDLL
22 Sep
@ Crewe
1–4
L
18 Sep
vs Middlesbrough U21
2–2
D
15 Sep
vs Real Sociedad II
5–1
W
11 Sep
@ Fulham U21
3–3
D
2 Sep
vs Brondby U21
0–4
L
28 Aug
vs Crystal Palace U21
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burnley U21 and Aston Villa U21.
What is the prediction for Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
On our numbers Burnley U21 have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Aston Villa U21 45%.
How many goals will there be in Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Our predicted score is Burnley U21 1–2 Aston Villa U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Burnley U21 vs Aston Villa U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Burnley FC Training Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
