Value bet: Ironi Kiryat Shmona to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Tel Aviv to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.41
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv preview and prediction
The match
Ironi Kiryat Shmona host Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Toto Cup Ligat Al on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium.
Form guide
Ironi Kiryat Shmona's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Hapoel Haifa 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hapoel Tel Aviv's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to GKS Katowice 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Ironi Kiryat Shmona and 1.5 for Hapoel Tel Aviv. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Ironi Kiryat Shmona to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1–1 Hapoel Tel Aviv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ironi Kiryat Shmona35%fair 2.84 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.45
Hapoel Tel Aviv42%fair 2.37 · @2.00
2.77Expected goals
1.31Ironi Kiryat Shmona xG
1.46Hapoel Tel Aviv xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1.3 – 1.5 Hapoel Tel Aviv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Tel Aviv to win✓
42%
2.37
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Tel Aviv / FT Hapoel Tel Aviv✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.41
–
Form
Ironi Kiryat Shmona – last 6
WWWWLW
8 Aug
@ Hapoel Haifa
3–1
W
4 Aug
vs Bnei Sakhnin
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Ironi Tiberias
1–0
W
28 Jul
vs Maccabi Haifa
3–0
W
18 May
vs Ashdod
2–3
L
13 May
@ Bnei Sakhnin
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hapoel Tel Aviv – last 6
LWDWDD
12 Aug
@ GKS Katowice
1–2
L
6 Aug
vs GKS Katowice
2–0
W
30 Jul
@ Ludogorets
2–2
D
23 Jul
vs Ludogorets
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Beitar Jerusalem
2–2
D
14 Jul
@ Dukla Banská Bystrica
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Hapoel Tel Aviv.
What is the prediction for Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
On our numbers Ironi Kiryat Shmona have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hapoel Tel Aviv 42%.
How many goals will there be in Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Our predicted score is Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1–1 Hapoel Tel Aviv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv (Toto Cup Ligat Al) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.