Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFiorentino to win ✗61% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61% · @1.70
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Pennarossa vs Fiorentino preview and prediction
The match
Pennarossa host Fiorentino in the Campionato on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Pennarossa are 13th with 5 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Fiorentino sit 8th on 9 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Pennarossa's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Cosmos 1–6 away. They average 1.3 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Fiorentino's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with La Fiorita 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Fiorentino arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.2 for Pennarossa and 2.2 for Fiorentino. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pennarossa 1–2 Fiorentino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pennarossa21%fair 4.66 · @4.75
Draw18%fair 5.61 · @4.00
Fiorentino61%fair 1.65 · @1.53
3.45Expected goals
1.23Pennarossa xG
2.22Fiorentino xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Pennarossa 1.2 – 2.2 Fiorentino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fiorentino to win✗
61%
1.65
1.53
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Fiorentino ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fiorentino / FT Fiorentino✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.39
–
Form
Pennarossa – last 6
LWLLLD
13 Sep
@ Cosmos
1–6
L
9 Sep
vs Cailungo
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Murata
1–4
L
30 Aug
@ Tre Fiori
2–5
L
29 Apr
@ Cosmos
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ Tre Fiori
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fiorentino – last 6
DLLWWW
11 Sep
vs La Fiorita
1–1
D
8 Sep
vs Tre Fiori
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs Virtus
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ San Marino Academy
2–0
W
5 May
vs La Fiorita
3–2
W
7 Apr
@ San Marino Academy
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pennarossa and Fiorentino.
What is the prediction for Pennarossa vs Fiorentino?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Pennarossa vs Fiorentino?
On our numbers Pennarossa have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Fiorentino 61%.
How many goals will there be in Pennarossa vs Fiorentino?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pennarossa vs Fiorentino?
Our predicted score is Pennarossa 1–2 Fiorentino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Pennarossa vs Fiorentino?
Pennarossa vs Fiorentino (Campionato) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
