Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCosmos to win ✓58% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Cosmos vs Pennarossa preview and prediction
The match
Cosmos host Pennarossa in the Campionato on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Cosmos are 5th with 16 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Pennarossa sit 13th on 5 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Cosmos's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat San Giovanni 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pennarossa's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Cailungo 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Cosmos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished Cosmos 3–0 Pennarossa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Cosmos and 1.2 for Pennarossa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.05 – 55% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cosmos to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cosmos 2–1 Pennarossa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cosmos58%fair 1.73 · @1.83
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.40
Pennarossa23%fair 4.37 · @3.70
3.26Expected goals
2.05Cosmos xG
1.21Pennarossa xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Cosmos 2.1 – 1.2 Pennarossa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Cosmos to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Cosmos vs Pennarossa?
On our numbers Cosmos have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pennarossa 23%.
How many goals will there be in Cosmos vs Pennarossa?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cosmos vs Pennarossa?
Our predicted score is Cosmos 2–1 Pennarossa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Cosmos vs Pennarossa?
Cosmos vs Pennarossa (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
