Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Giovanni to win ✓61% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Murata vs San Giovanni preview and prediction
The match
San Giovanni travel to face Murata in the Campionato on Saturday 12 September (14:00 WAT). Murata are 14th with 4 points from 8 games (in the bottom three), while San Giovanni sit 10th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Murata's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Virtus 0–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 3.5 conceded.
San Giovanni's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Cosmos 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.4 for Murata and 2.5 for San Giovanni. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Murata 21%, draw 18%, San Giovanni 61%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Murata 1–2 San Giovanni. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Murata21%fair 4.87 · @3.90
Draw18%fair 5.54 · @3.90
San Giovanni61%fair 1.63 · @1.67
3.90Expected goals
1.41Murata xG
2.50San Giovanni xG
57%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–35%
From our goals model: Murata 1.4 – 2.5 San Giovanni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Giovanni to win✓
61%
1.63
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.60 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
San Giovanni ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Giovanni / FT San Giovanni✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.31
–
Form
Murata – last 6
LWLLLL
9 Sep
vs Virtus
0–3
L
6 Sep
@ Pennarossa
4–1
W
28 Aug
@ Folgore
0–5
L
26 Apr
@ Juvenes Dogana
2–5
L
8 Apr
vs Tre Fiori
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Tre Penne
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
San Giovanni – last 6
LLLLLD
8 Sep
vs Cosmos
0–1
L
4 Sep
@ Domagnano
0–4
L
29 Aug
vs Tre Penne
2–3
L
26 Apr
@ Tre Penne
0–4
L
7 Apr
@ La Fiorita
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Folgore
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Murata and San Giovanni.
What is the prediction for Murata vs San Giovanni?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Murata vs San Giovanni?
On our numbers Murata have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 18% and San Giovanni 61%.
How many goals will there be in Murata vs San Giovanni?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Murata vs San Giovanni?
Our predicted score is Murata 1–2 San Giovanni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Murata vs San Giovanni?
Murata vs San Giovanni (Campionato) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
