Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Folgore vs Murata preview and prediction
The match
Murata travel to face Folgore in the Campionato on Friday 28 August (20:15 WAT). Folgore are 1st with 22 points from 8 games (top of the table), while Murata sit 14th on 4 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Folgore's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Domagnano 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Murata's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Juvenes Dogana 2–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Folgore arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.8 for Folgore and 0.9 for Murata. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Folgore 75%, draw 16%, Murata 9%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Folgore 3–0 Murata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Folgore75%fair 1.33 · @1.12
Draw16%fair 6.38 · @9.00
Murata9%fair 10.97 · @12.00
3.67Expected goals
2.76Folgore xG
0.91Murata xG
52%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
3–09%
2–19%
3–18%
1–07%
1–16%
From our goals model: Folgore 2.8 – 0.9 Murata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Folgore to win✓
75%
1.33
1.12
Double chance
Folgore or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Folgore ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Folgore / FT Folgore✓
53%
1.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.33
–
Form
Folgore – last 6
LWDDDD
5 May
vs Domagnano
1–3
L
19 Apr
vs San Marino Academy
3–0
W
8 Apr
vs Cosmos
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Tre Penne
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs San Giovanni
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs La Fiorita
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Murata – last 5
LLLLL
26 Apr
@ Juvenes Dogana
2–5
L
8 Apr
vs Tre Fiori
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Tre Penne
0–4
L
1 Mar
vs Cosmos
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Domagnano
0–5
L
0.4Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Folgore and Murata.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Folgore vs Murata?
On our numbers Folgore have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Murata 9%.
How many goals will there be in Folgore vs Murata?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Folgore vs Murata?
Our predicted score is Folgore 3–0 Murata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Folgore vs Murata?
Folgore vs Murata (Campionato) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
