Sonderjyske travel to face Thisted FC in the DBU Pokalen on Thursday 3 September (17:00 WAT).
Form guide
Thisted FC's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Fremad Amager 2–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Sonderjyske's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to FC Copenhagen 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Thisted FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 10.0 goals: 3.7 for Thisted FC and 6.3 for Sonderjyske. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 100% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Thisted FC 12%, draw 17%, Sonderjyske 70%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.41, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Thisted FC 3–7 Sonderjyske. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Thisted FC12%fair 8.06 · @11.00
Draw17%fair 5.75 · @5.00
Sonderjyske70%fair 1.42 · @1.22
10.00Expected goals
3.69Thisted FC xG
6.31Sonderjyske xG
71%Both score
100%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–79%
4–79%
2–78%
5–76%
1–74%
6–74%
From our goals model: Thisted FC 3.7 – 6.3 Sonderjyske expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sonderjyske to win✓
70%
1.42
1.22
Double chance
Sonderjyske or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
71%
1.41
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
100%
1.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
99%
1.01
–
Half-time result
Sonderjyske ahead at half-time✗
60%
1.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sonderjyske / FT Sonderjyske✗
53%
1.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–7✗
9%
10.80
–
Form
Thisted FC – last 6
DLLLWL
28 Aug
@ Fremad Amager
2–2
D
21 Aug
vs Skive
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ VSK Århus
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs FA 2000
0–1
L
4 Aug
@ Aabybro
9–1
W
1 Aug
@ Middelfart
1–4
L
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sonderjyske – last 6
LLLLLL
31 Aug
@ FC Copenhagen
1–3
L
23 Aug
vs FC Nordsjaelland
0–3
L
17 Aug
@ Brondby
2–3
L
7 Aug
vs Viborg
0–1
L
3 Aug
@ Odense
0–1
L
26 Jul
vs FC Midtjylland
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thisted FC and Sonderjyske.
What is the prediction for Thisted FC vs Sonderjyske?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Thisted FC vs Sonderjyske?
On our numbers Thisted FC have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sonderjyske 70%.
How many goals will there be in Thisted FC vs Sonderjyske?
We expect about 10.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 100% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thisted FC vs Sonderjyske?
Our predicted score is Thisted FC 3–7 Sonderjyske, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 10.0 goals in total.
When is Thisted FC vs Sonderjyske?
Thisted FC vs Sonderjyske (DBU Pokalen) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
