Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas preview and prediction
The match
Uruguay Montevideo host Atenas in the Segunda División on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Uruguay Montevideo are 14th with 22 points from 25 games (in the bottom three), while Atenas sit 1st on 44 points (top of the table). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Uruguay Montevideo's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Paysandu 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Atenas's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Oriental 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Atenas 2–1 Uruguay Montevideo. Across their last 2 meetings Uruguay Montevideo have won 1, Atenas 1, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Uruguay Montevideo and 1.2 for Atenas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 Atenas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Uruguay Montevideo36%fair 2.75 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.95
Atenas38%fair 2.62 · @2.75
2.45Expected goals
1.21Uruguay Montevideo xG
1.25Atenas xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Uruguay Montevideo 1.2 – 1.2 Atenas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas?
On our numbers Uruguay Montevideo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atenas 38%.
How many goals will there be in Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas?
Our predicted score is Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 Atenas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas?
Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
