Derde Divisie Saturday · NetherlandsEemdijk vs Sportlust '46 prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Eemdijk 1.2 – 2.4 Sportlust '46 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sportlust '46 travel as clear favourites – 65% to win, against 21% for Eemdijk.
Eemdijk have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 3.2 per game. Sportlust '46 have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.6 goals (1.2 for Eemdijk, 2.4 for Sportlust '46). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 0–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.47.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sportlust '46 to win ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Half-time result | Sportlust '46 ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sportlust '46 / FT Sportlust '46 ✗ | 41% | 2.45 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.65 | – |
Form
Eemdijk – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Hercules | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ DVS 33 Ermelo | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ TEC | 2–7 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Roosendaal | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Sparta Nijkerk | 0–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ ACV | 1–5 | L |
Sportlust '46 – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs ADO '20 | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Hercules | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Excelsior '31 | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ DVS 33 Ermelo | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | vs Excelsior Maassluis | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Dovo | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eemdijk and Sportlust '46.
Derde Divisie Saturday table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ACV | 12 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 12 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Harkemase Boys | 12 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  TEC | 12 | +15 | 24 |
| 5 |  Excelsior '31 | 12 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  SC Genemuiden | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 12 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |  Purmersteijn | 12 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 |  ADO '20 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hercules | 12 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 |  Hoogeveen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eemdijk | 12 | -12 | 13 |
| 14 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 12 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  Staphorst | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 16 |  Hollandia | 12 | -13 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dovo | 12 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 12 | -21 | 1 |
| 1 |  FC Lisse | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 2 |  Noordwijk | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 3 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 12 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Rijnvogels | 12 | +16 | 24 |
| 5 |  Zwaluwen | 12 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 |  Poortugaal | 12 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  UDI '19 | 12 | +9 | 20 |
| 8 |  GOES | 12 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Gemert | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dongen | 12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Blauw Geel | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  TOGB | 12 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Roosendaal | 11 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |  UNA | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Vvsb | 12 | -9 | 11 |
| 16 |  Groene Ster | 12 | -17 | 9 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 12 | -20 | 6 |
| 18 |  EVV | 12 | -14 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Eemdijk vs Sportlust '46?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Eemdijk vs Sportlust '46?
On our numbers Eemdijk have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Sportlust '46 65%.
How many goals will there be in Eemdijk vs Sportlust '46?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Eemdijk vs Sportlust '46?
Eemdijk vs Sportlust '46 (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.