Derde Divisie Saturday · NetherlandsEVV vs Roosendaal prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: EVV 1.6 – 1.8 Roosendaal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Roosendaal shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 35% for EVV.
EVV have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Roosendaal have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 1.7 scored and 3.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.6 for EVV, 1.8 for Roosendaal). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (7%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.53.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Roosendaal to win ✗ | 46% | 2.16 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 37% | 2.73 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Roosendaal / FT Roosendaal ✗ | 27% | 3.68 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.37 | – |
Form
EVV – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Achilles Veen | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Noordwijk | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ FC Lisse | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | vs Halsteren | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Groene Ster | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ UDI '19 | 1–4 | L |
Roosendaal – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Zwaluwen | 2–4 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ TOGB | 3–4 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Vvsb | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | @ Eemdijk | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Excelsior Maassluis | 0–5 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Blauw Geel | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between EVV and Roosendaal.
Derde Divisie Saturday table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ACV | 12 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 12 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Harkemase Boys | 12 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  TEC | 12 | +15 | 24 |
| 5 |  Excelsior '31 | 12 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  SC Genemuiden | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 12 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |  Purmersteijn | 12 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 |  ADO '20 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hercules | 12 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 |  Hoogeveen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eemdijk | 12 | -12 | 13 |
| 14 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 12 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  Staphorst | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 16 |  Hollandia | 12 | -13 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dovo | 12 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 12 | -21 | 1 |
| 1 |  FC Lisse | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 2 |  Noordwijk | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 3 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 12 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Rijnvogels | 12 | +16 | 24 |
| 5 |  Zwaluwen | 12 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 |  Poortugaal | 12 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  UDI '19 | 12 | +9 | 20 |
| 8 |  GOES | 12 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Gemert | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dongen | 12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Blauw Geel | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  TOGB | 12 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Roosendaal | 11 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |  UNA | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Vvsb | 12 | -9 | 11 |
| 16 |  Groene Ster | 12 | -17 | 9 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 12 | -20 | 6 |
| 18 |  EVV | 12 | -14 | 3 |
More Derde Divisie Saturday predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for EVV vs Roosendaal?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win EVV vs Roosendaal?
On our numbers EVV have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Roosendaal 46%.
How many goals will there be in EVV vs Roosendaal?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is EVV vs Roosendaal?
EVV vs Roosendaal (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.