Derde Divisie Saturday · NetherlandsGemert vs Achilles Veen prediction & analysis
Gemert or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gemert 2.1 – 1.2 Achilles Veen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Gemert hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 20% for Achilles Veen.
Gemert have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Achilles Veen have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 0.7 scored and 2.5 conceded. Gemert come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.1 for Gemert, 1.2 for Achilles Veen). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%).
Our pick is Gemert or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is better than our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gemert to win ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.83 |
| Double chance | Gemert or draw ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Half-time result | Gemert ahead at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gemert / FT Gemert ✓ | 37% | 2.72 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.20 | – |
Form
Gemert – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Noordwijk | 0–4 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs FC Lisse | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Groene Ster | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Sep | @ Ijsselmeervogels | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs UDI '19 | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Poortugaal | 2–1 | W |
Achilles Veen – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs EVV | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Zwaluwen | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs TOGB | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Sep | @ Kloetinge | 0–8 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Vvsb | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Excelsior Maassluis | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gemert and Achilles Veen.
Derde Divisie Saturday table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ACV | 12 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 12 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Harkemase Boys | 12 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  TEC | 12 | +15 | 24 |
| 5 |  Excelsior '31 | 12 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  SC Genemuiden | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 12 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |  Purmersteijn | 12 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 |  ADO '20 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hercules | 12 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 |  Hoogeveen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eemdijk | 12 | -12 | 13 |
| 14 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 12 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  Staphorst | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 16 |  Hollandia | 12 | -13 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dovo | 12 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 12 | -21 | 1 |
| 1 |  FC Lisse | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 2 |  Noordwijk | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 3 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 12 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Rijnvogels | 12 | +16 | 24 |
| 5 |  Zwaluwen | 12 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 |  Poortugaal | 12 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  UDI '19 | 12 | +9 | 20 |
| 8 |  GOES | 12 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Gemert | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dongen | 12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Blauw Geel | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  TOGB | 12 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Roosendaal | 11 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |  UNA | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Vvsb | 12 | -9 | 11 |
| 16 |  Groene Ster | 12 | -17 | 9 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 12 | -20 | 6 |
| 18 |  EVV | 12 | -14 | 3 |
More Derde Divisie Saturday predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gemert vs Achilles Veen?
Our pick is Gemert or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Gemert vs Achilles Veen?
On our numbers Gemert have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Achilles Veen 20%.
How many goals will there be in Gemert vs Achilles Veen?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Gemert vs Achilles Veen?
Gemert vs Achilles Veen (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.