Derde Divisie Saturday · NetherlandsACV vs DVS 33 Ermelo prediction & analysis
ACV to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: ACV 1.6 – 0.7 DVS 33 Ermelo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
ACV are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 20% for DVS 33 Ermelo.
ACV have taken 12 points from their last 4 matches (4W 0D 0L), scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. DVS 33 Ermelo have 1 points from their last 5 (0W 1D 4L), averaging 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded. ACV come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.6 for ACV, 0.7 for DVS 33 Ermelo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 41%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is ACV to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | ACV to win ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT ACV / FT ACV ✗ | 36% | 2.74 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.30 | – |
Form
ACV – last 4
| 22 Aug | @ Hollandia | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs TEC | 1–0 | W |
| 23 May | @ Ijsselmeervogels | 4–2 | W |
| 21 Feb | @ Almere City II | 4–2 | W |
DVS 33 Ermelo – last 5
| 22 Aug | vs Harkemase Boys | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ SC Genemuiden | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ GVVV Veenendaal | 0–3 | L |
| 30 May | vs Rijnvogels | 2–2 | D |
| 27 May | @ Rijnvogels | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ACV and DVS 33 Ermelo.
Derde Divisie Saturday table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ACV | 12 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 12 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Harkemase Boys | 12 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  TEC | 12 | +15 | 24 |
| 5 |  Excelsior '31 | 12 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  SC Genemuiden | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 12 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |  Purmersteijn | 12 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 |  ADO '20 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hercules | 12 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 |  Hoogeveen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eemdijk | 12 | -12 | 13 |
| 14 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 12 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  Staphorst | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 16 |  Hollandia | 12 | -13 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dovo | 12 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 12 | -21 | 1 |
| 1 |  FC Lisse | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 2 |  Noordwijk | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 3 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 12 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Rijnvogels | 12 | +16 | 24 |
| 5 |  Zwaluwen | 12 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 |  Poortugaal | 12 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  UDI '19 | 12 | +9 | 20 |
| 8 |  GOES | 12 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Gemert | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dongen | 12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Blauw Geel | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  TOGB | 12 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Roosendaal | 11 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |  UNA | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Vvsb | 12 | -9 | 11 |
| 16 |  Groene Ster | 12 | -17 | 9 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 12 | -20 | 6 |
| 18 |  EVV | 12 | -14 | 3 |
More Derde Divisie Saturday predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for ACV vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
Our pick is ACV to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win ACV vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
On our numbers ACV have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 17% and DVS 33 Ermelo 20%.
How many goals will there be in ACV vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
When is ACV vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
ACV vs DVS 33 Ermelo (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.