Derde Divisie Saturday · NetherlandsGemert vs GOES prediction & analysis
Gemert or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gemert 2.6 – 1.4 GOES expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Gemert are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 19% for GOES.
Gemert have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. GOES have 3 points from their last 2 (1W 0D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 4.0 goals (2.6 for Gemert, 1.4 for GOES). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (7%), 1–1 (7%).
Our pick is Gemert or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.23.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gemert to win ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | Gemert or draw ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Half-time result | Gemert ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gemert / FT Gemert ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.43 | – |
Form
Gemert – last 6
| 15 Aug | @ Rijnvogels | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Jul | vs Helmond Sport | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | vs Vvsb | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Apr | vs Meerssen | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | vs FC Lisse | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Mar | vs Blauw Geel | 2–3 | L |
GOES – last 2
| 16 Aug | vs EVV | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Feb | @ Groene Ster | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gemert and GOES.
Derde Divisie Saturday table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ACV | 12 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 12 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Harkemase Boys | 12 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  TEC | 12 | +15 | 24 |
| 5 |  Excelsior '31 | 12 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  SC Genemuiden | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 12 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |  Purmersteijn | 12 | +7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 |  ADO '20 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Hercules | 12 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 |  Hoogeveen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 |  Eemdijk | 12 | -12 | 13 |
| 14 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 12 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  Staphorst | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 16 |  Hollandia | 12 | -13 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dovo | 12 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 12 | -21 | 1 |
| 1 |  FC Lisse | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 2 |  Noordwijk | 12 | +22 | 31 |
| 3 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 12 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Rijnvogels | 12 | +16 | 24 |
| 5 |  Zwaluwen | 12 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 |  Poortugaal | 12 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  UDI '19 | 12 | +9 | 20 |
| 8 |  GOES | 12 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Gemert | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Dongen | 12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Blauw Geel | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  TOGB | 12 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Roosendaal | 11 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |  UNA | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Vvsb | 12 | -9 | 11 |
| 16 |  Groene Ster | 12 | -17 | 9 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 12 | -20 | 6 |
| 18 |  EVV | 12 | -14 | 3 |
More Derde Divisie Saturday predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gemert vs GOES?
Our pick is Gemert or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gemert vs GOES?
On our numbers Gemert have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and GOES 19%.
How many goals will there be in Gemert vs GOES?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Gemert vs GOES?
Gemert vs GOES (Derde Divisie Saturday) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.