Value bet: Fajr Sepasi to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMalavan to win ✗41% · @2.27
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.16
Malavan vs Fajr Sepasi preview and prediction
The match
Malavan host Fajr Sepasi in the Persian Gulf Pro League on Monday 24 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Sirous Ghayeghran Stadium. Malavan are 15th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Fajr Sepasi sit 7th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Malavan's last 4: WDDL Most recently they beat ZOB Ahan 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Fajr Sepasi's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Sanat Naft 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Malavan and 0.8 for Fajr Sepasi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Fajr Sepasi to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 75% chance at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Malavan 1–0 Fajr Sepasi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Malavan41%fair 2.44 · @2.27
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.05
Fajr Sepasi34%fair 2.91 · @3.10
1.75Expected goals
0.93Malavan xG
0.82Fajr Sepasi xG
38%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Malavan 0.9 – 0.8 Fajr Sepasi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malavan to win✗
41%
2.44
2.27
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.31
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.16
–
Form
Malavan – last 4
WDDL
19 Aug
vs ZOB Ahan
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Sanat Naft
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Tractor Sazi
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Kheybar Khorramabad
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Fajr Sepasi – last 5
DDLWL
19 Aug
vs Sanat Naft
0–0
D
14 Aug
@ Kheybar Khorramabad
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Esteghlal FC
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Shams Azar Qazvin
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Esteghlal Khuzestan
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malavan and Fajr Sepasi.
What is the prediction for Malavan vs Fajr Sepasi?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Malavan vs Fajr Sepasi?
On our numbers Malavan have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Fajr Sepasi 34%.
How many goals will there be in Malavan vs Fajr Sepasi?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malavan vs Fajr Sepasi?
Our predicted score is Malavan 1–0 Fajr Sepasi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Malavan vs Fajr Sepasi?
Malavan vs Fajr Sepasi (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sirous Ghayeghran Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
