Tercera División RFEF Group 18 · SpainAlmansa vs San Clemente prediction & analysis
Almansa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Almansa to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Almansa 2.2 – 1.0 San Clemente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Almansa are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 15% for San Clemente.
Almansa have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. San Clemente have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.3 goals (2.2 for Almansa, 1.0 for San Clemente). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%), 1–1 (9%).
Our pick is Almansa or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Almansa to win at 1.91 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Almansa to win ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Almansa or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Half-time result | Almansa ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Almansa / FT Almansa ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.17 | – |
Form
Almansa – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Marchamalo | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Manchego | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Huracán Balazote | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Villacañas | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs La Solana | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Noblejas | 2–3 | L |
San Clemente – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Manchego | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Huracán Balazote | 5–3 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Villacañas | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ La Solana | 0–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Noblejas | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Villarrubia | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almansa and San Clemente.
Tercera División RFEF Group 18 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchego | 10 | +10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Toledo | 10 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 |  Villacañas | 10 | +9 | 18 |
| 4 |  CD Villa | 10 | +2 | 18 |
| 5 |  Villarrobledo | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  Illescas | 10 | +1 | 17 |
| 7 |  Tarancón | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 |  San Clemente | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Noblejas | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torrijos | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Villarrubia | 10 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Almansa | 10 | +2 | 12 |
| 13 |  Marchamalo | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 |  La Solana | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 |  Socuéllamos | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Huracán Balazote | 10 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 |  Quintanar del Rey | 10 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Guadalajara II | 10 | -15 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Almansa vs San Clemente?
Our pick is Almansa or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Almansa vs San Clemente?
On our numbers Almansa have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Clemente 15%.
How many goals will there be in Almansa vs San Clemente?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Almansa vs San Clemente?
Almansa vs San Clemente (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.