Tercera División RFEF Group 18 · SpainQuintanar del Rey vs Illescas prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
Value bet: Illescas to win @ 2.62 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Quintanar del Rey 1.0 – 1.2 Illescas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Illescas shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 32% for Quintanar del Rey.
Quintanar del Rey have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Illescas have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.0 for Quintanar del Rey, 1.2 for Illescas). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.84, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Illescas to win at 2.62 is our value angle (44% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Illescas to win ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | 2.62 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Illescas / FT Illescas ✗ | 24% | 4.18 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 13% | 7.63 | – |
Form
Quintanar del Rey – last 6
| 13 Sep | @ Villarrobledo | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Toledo | 2–4 | L |
| 3 May | @ Elche II | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | vs RSD Alcalá | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Apr | @ Intercity | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Apr | vs Fuenlabrada | 1–0 | W |
Illescas – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs Socuéllamos | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Tarancón | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Pozuelo Alarcón | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | vs CF Talavera | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Apr | @ Cazalegas | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | vs Marchamalo | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Quintanar del Rey and Illescas.
Tercera División RFEF Group 18 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchego | 10 | +10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Toledo | 10 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 |  Villacañas | 10 | +9 | 18 |
| 4 |  CD Villa | 10 | +2 | 18 |
| 5 |  Villarrobledo | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  Illescas | 10 | +1 | 17 |
| 7 |  Tarancón | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 |  San Clemente | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Noblejas | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torrijos | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Villarrubia | 10 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Almansa | 10 | +2 | 12 |
| 13 |  Marchamalo | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 |  La Solana | 10 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 |  Socuéllamos | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Huracán Balazote | 10 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 |  Quintanar del Rey | 10 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Guadalajara II | 10 | -15 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Quintanar del Rey vs Illescas?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Quintanar del Rey vs Illescas?
On our numbers Quintanar del Rey have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Illescas 44%.
How many goals will there be in Quintanar del Rey vs Illescas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Quintanar del Rey vs Illescas?
Quintanar del Rey vs Illescas (Tercera División RFEF Group 18) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.