Value bet: Aoiz to win @ 2.45 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAoiz to win ✗46% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.70
Bidezarra vs Aoiz preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 15 sees Bidezarra take on Aoiz on Friday 30 October, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT). Bidezarra are 18th with 5 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Aoiz sit 9th on 14 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Bidezarra's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Cantolagua 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Aoiz's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with San Juan 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Aoiz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Bidezarra and 1.2 for Aoiz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bidezarra 31%, draw 24%, Aoiz 46%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Aoiz to win at 2.45 – 46% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Bidezarra 0–1 Aoiz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bidezarra31%fair 3.23 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.90
Aoiz46%fair 2.20 · @2.45
2.06Expected goals
0.89Bidezarra xG
1.17Aoiz xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Bidezarra 0.9 – 1.2 Aoiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aoiz to win✗
46%
2.20
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aoiz / FT Aoiz✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.70
–
Form
Bidezarra – last 6
LLLDDL
25 Oct
@ Cantolagua
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs Mutilvera
1–3
L
11 Oct
@ Subiza
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Beti Onak
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Txantrea
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Izarra
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Aoiz – last 6
DLLWDD
24 Oct
vs San Juan
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Cirbonero
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Avance Ezcabarte
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Valle Egüés
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Gazte Berriak
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Huarte
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bidezarra and Aoiz.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Bidezarra vs Aoiz?
On our numbers Bidezarra have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aoiz 46%.
How many goals will there be in Bidezarra vs Aoiz?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bidezarra vs Aoiz?
Our predicted score is Bidezarra 0–1 Aoiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Bidezarra vs Aoiz?
Bidezarra vs Aoiz (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
