Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSubiza to win ✓65% · @1.70
Double chanceSubiza or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.31
Subiza vs Bidezarra preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 15 sees Subiza take on Bidezarra on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Subiza are 3rd with 16 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Bidezarra sit 18th on 5 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Subiza's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to San Juan 1–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Bidezarra's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Beti Onak 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Subiza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 March 2026, finished Bidezarra 1–0 Subiza.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Subiza and 0.9 for Bidezarra. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Subiza 65%, draw 22%, Bidezarra 13%.
Safer route: Subiza or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Subiza to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Subiza 2–0 Bidezarra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Subiza65%fair 1.55 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.25
Bidezarra13%fair 7.69 · @4.60
3.10Expected goals
2.18Subiza xG
0.92Bidezarra xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Subiza 2.2 – 0.9 Bidezarra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Subiza to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Subiza vs Bidezarra?
On our numbers Subiza have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bidezarra 13%.
How many goals will there be in Subiza vs Bidezarra?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Subiza vs Bidezarra?
Our predicted score is Subiza 2–0 Bidezarra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Subiza vs Bidezarra?
Subiza vs Bidezarra (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
