Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Cortes to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTxantrea to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.91
Txantrea vs Cortes preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 15 sees Txantrea take on Cortes on Thursday 8 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Txantrea are 11th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Cortes sit 17th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Txantrea's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Beti Kozkor 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Cortes's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Izarra 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Txantrea and 1.0 for Cortes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Txantrea 45%, draw 21%, Cortes 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Cortes to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Txantrea 1–1 Cortes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Txantrea45%fair 2.22 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.30
Cortes34%fair 2.93 · @3.25
2.30Expected goals
1.26Txantrea xG
1.04Cortes xG
59%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Txantrea 1.3 – 1.0 Cortes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Txantrea to win✗
45%
2.22
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Txantrea / FT Txantrea✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.91
–
Form
Txantrea – last 6
LDWDLL
3 Oct
@ Beti Kozkor
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Bidezarra
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ San Juan
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Cirbonero
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Avance Ezcabarte
0–4
L
2 Apr
vs Pamplona
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cortes – last 6
LDLWLD
3 Oct
vs Izarra
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Pamplona
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Beti Kozkor
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Bidezarra
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ San Juan
0–5
L
2 Apr
vs San Juan
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Txantrea and Cortes.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Txantrea vs Cortes?
On our numbers Txantrea have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cortes 34%.
How many goals will there be in Txantrea vs Cortes?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Txantrea vs Cortes?
Our predicted score is Txantrea 1–1 Cortes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Txantrea vs Cortes?
Txantrea vs Cortes (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
