Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Txantrea to win @ 1.90 – our chance 64% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTxantrea to win ✗64% · @1.90
Double chanceTxantrea or draw ✓84% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.09
Txantrea vs Bidezarra preview and prediction
The match
Txantrea host Bidezarra in the Tercera División RFEF Group 15 on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Txantrea are 11th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Bidezarra sit 18th on 5 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Txantrea's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat San Juan 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Bidezarra's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Izarra 0–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Txantrea and 0.6 for Bidezarra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 43%.
Value angle: Txantrea to win at 1.90 – 64% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Txantrea or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Txantrea 1–0 Bidezarra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Txantrea64%fair 1.57 · @1.90
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.30
Bidezarra16%fair 6.27 · @3.50
2.32Expected goals
1.67Txantrea xG
0.65Bidezarra xG
43%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Txantrea 1.7 – 0.6 Bidezarra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Txantrea to win✗
64%
1.57
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Txantrea or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Txantrea / FT Txantrea✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.09
–
Form
Txantrea – last 6
WDLLLD
19 Sep
@ San Juan
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Cirbonero
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Avance Ezcabarte
0–4
L
2 Apr
vs Pamplona
1–3
L
18 Mar
@ Beti Onak
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Subiza
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bidezarra – last 6
LLDDWL
19 Sep
vs Izarra
0–4
L
12 Sep
@ Cortes
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Beti Kozkor
0–0
D
1 Apr
vs Cirbonero
0–0
D
19 Mar
vs Subiza
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ Avance Ezcabarte
0–3
L
0.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Txantrea and Bidezarra.
Our pick is Txantrea or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Txantrea vs Bidezarra?
On our numbers Txantrea have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bidezarra 16%.
How many goals will there be in Txantrea vs Bidezarra?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Txantrea vs Bidezarra?
Our predicted score is Txantrea 1–0 Bidezarra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Txantrea vs Bidezarra?
Txantrea vs Bidezarra (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
