Tenerife C vs Villa Santa Brígida prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Tenerife C or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Tenerife C to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTenerife C to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceTenerife C or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.15
Tenerife C vs Villa Santa Brígida preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 12 sees Tenerife C take on Villa Santa Brígida on Wednesday 21 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Tenerife C are 8th with 14 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Villa Santa Brígida sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tenerife C's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat San Bartolomé 4–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Villa Santa Brígida's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to UD San Fernando 0–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Tenerife C arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Tenerife C and 1.1 for Villa Santa Brígida. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tenerife C 62%, draw 22%, Villa Santa Brígida 16%.
Safer route: Tenerife C or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Tenerife C to win at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tenerife C or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tenerife C 2–1 Villa Santa Brígida. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tenerife C62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.25
Villa Santa Brígida16%fair 6.28 · @3.50
3.25Expected goals
2.19Tenerife C xG
1.06Villa Santa Brígida xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Tenerife C 2.2 – 1.1 Villa Santa Brígida expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tenerife C to win✓
62%
1.62
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Tenerife C or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Tenerife C ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tenerife C / FT Tenerife C✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.15
–
Form
Tenerife C – last 6
WWLWDL
17 Oct
@ San Bartolomé
4–2
W
10 Oct
vs Villaverde Norte
4–1
W
3 Oct
@ San Miguel
0–2
L
25 Sep
vs Anaza
3–2
W
19 Sep
@ Panadería Pulido
3–3
D
13 Sep
@ Mensajero
0–1
L
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Villa Santa Brígida – last 6
LDDWLD
17 Oct
@ UD San Fernando
0–4
L
9 Oct
vs Las Palmas III
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ San Bartolomé
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Villaverde Norte
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ San Miguel
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Anaza
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tenerife C and Villa Santa Brígida.
What is the prediction for Tenerife C vs Villa Santa Brígida?
Our pick is Tenerife C or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tenerife C vs Villa Santa Brígida?
On our numbers Tenerife C have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Villa Santa Brígida 16%.
How many goals will there be in Tenerife C vs Villa Santa Brígida?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tenerife C vs Villa Santa Brígida?
Our predicted score is Tenerife C 2–1 Villa Santa Brígida, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Tenerife C vs Villa Santa Brígida?
Tenerife C vs Villa Santa Brígida (Tercera División RFEF Group 12) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
