Platges Calvià host Migjorn in the Tercera División RFEF Group 11 on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT). Platges Calvià are 1st with 24 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Migjorn sit 16th on 5 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Platges Calvià's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Cardassar 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Migjorn's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat Binissalem 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Platges Calvià arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Platges Calvià and 0.7 for Migjorn. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Platges Calvià to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Platges Calvià 2–0 Migjorn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Platges Calvià70%fair 1.44 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @4.20
Migjorn12%fair 8.13 · @7.00
2.75Expected goals
2.05Platges Calvià xG
0.70Migjorn xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–16%
From our goals model: Platges Calvià 2.1 – 0.7 Migjorn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Platges Calvià to win✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Double chance
Platges Calvià or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Platges Calvià ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Platges Calvià / FT Platges Calvià✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.44
–
Form
Platges Calvià – last 6
WWLLWW
26 Sep
vs Cardassar
1–0
W
18 Sep
@ Binissalem
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Manacor
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
1–2
L
3 May
vs Manacor
4–2
W
22 Apr
@ Felanitx
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Migjorn – last 4
WLLL
27 Sep
vs Binissalem
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Manacor
1–5
L
12 Sep
vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
1–3
L
6 Sep
@ PE Sant Jordi
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Platges Calvià and Migjorn.
What is the prediction for Platges Calvià vs Migjorn?
Our pick is Platges Calvià to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Platges Calvià vs Migjorn?
On our numbers Platges Calvià have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Migjorn 12%.
How many goals will there be in Platges Calvià vs Migjorn?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Platges Calvià vs Migjorn?
Our predicted score is Platges Calvià 2–0 Migjorn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Platges Calvià vs Migjorn?
Platges Calvià vs Migjorn (Tercera División RFEF Group 11) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
