Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCádiz II to win ✓39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.55
Conil vs Cádiz II preview and prediction
The match
Conil host Cádiz II in the Tercera División RFEF Group 10 on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Conil are 12th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Cádiz II sit 13th on 9 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Conil's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Dos Hermanas 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cádiz II's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Dos Hermanas 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Conil arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Conil and 1.1 for Cádiz II. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Conil 37%, draw 24%, Cádiz II 39%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Conil 1–1 Cádiz II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Conil37%fair 2.69 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
Cádiz II39%fair 2.58 · @2.62
2.07Expected goals
1.02Conil xG
1.05Cádiz II xG
45%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–013%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Conil 1.0 – 1.1 Cádiz II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cádiz II to win✓
39%
2.58
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.55
–
Form
Conil – last 6
WLWWLW
16 Sep
vs Dos Hermanas
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Utrera
0–2
L
9 Sep
@ Melilla
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Pozoblanco
1–0
W
10 May
@ Linense
0–2
L
3 May
vs Recreativo Huelva
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cádiz II – last 6
DDLWLW
13 Sep
vs Dos Hermanas
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Tomares
2–2
D
10 May
@ Tomares
1–2
L
3 May
vs Ciudad de Lucena
3–0
W
19 Apr
vs Sevilla III
0–2
L
5 Apr
vs Recreativo Huelva
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Conil and Cádiz II.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Conil vs Cádiz II?
On our numbers Conil have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cádiz II 39%.
How many goals will there be in Conil vs Cádiz II?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Conil vs Cádiz II?
Our predicted score is Conil 1–1 Cádiz II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Conil vs Cádiz II?
Conil vs Cádiz II (Tercera División RFEF Group 10) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
