Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.24
Almería II vs Málaga II preview and prediction
The match
Málaga II travel to face Almería II in the Tercera División RFEF Group 9 on Sunday 11 October (11:00 WAT). Almería II are 4th with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Málaga II sit 5th on 18 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Almería II's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Cantoria 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Málaga II's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Granada II 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Almería II and 1.1 for Málaga II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Almería II 47%, draw 22%, Málaga II 31%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Almería II 1–1 Málaga II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Almería II47%fair 2.13 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.25
Málaga II31%fair 3.18 · @3.30
2.61Expected goals
1.47Almería II xG
1.14Málaga II xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Almería II 1.5 – 1.1 Málaga II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almería II to win✓
47%
2.13
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almería II / FT Almería II✓
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.24
–
Form
Almería II – last 6
DWLWWL
4 Oct
@ Cantoria
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Atlético Porcuna
4–0
W
20 Sep
@ UD San Pedro
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Alhaurino
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Malaga City
2–1
W
3 May
@ Águilas
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Málaga II – last 6
WWDWLD
3 Oct
vs Granada II
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Atletico de Marbella
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Cantoria
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Atlético Porcuna
6–1
W
6 Sep
@ UD San Pedro
0–1
L
3 May
vs Melilla
3–3
D
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almería II and Málaga II.
What is the prediction for Almería II vs Málaga II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Almería II vs Málaga II?
On our numbers Almería II have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Málaga II 31%.
How many goals will there be in Almería II vs Málaga II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almería II vs Málaga II?
Our predicted score is Almería II 1–1 Málaga II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Almería II vs Málaga II?
Almería II vs Málaga II (Tercera División RFEF Group 9) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
