Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Málaga II to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMálaga II to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceMálaga II or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.61
Málaga II vs Granada II preview and prediction
The match
Málaga II host Granada II in the Tercera División RFEF Group 9 on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Málaga II are 5th with 18 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Granada II sit 10th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Málaga II's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Atletico de Marbella 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Granada II's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Cantoria 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Granada II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Málaga II and 0.8 for Granada II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Málaga II 63%, draw 20%, Granada II 17%.
Safer route: Málaga II or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Málaga II to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Málaga II or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Málaga II 1–0 Granada II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Málaga II63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.30
Granada II17%fair 5.79 · @3.70
2.63Expected goals
1.83Málaga II xG
0.80Granada II xG
44%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Málaga II 1.8 – 0.8 Granada II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Málaga II to win✓
63%
1.59
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Málaga II or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Málaga II ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Málaga II / FT Málaga II✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.61
–
Form
Málaga II – last 6
WDWLDL
26 Sep
vs Atletico de Marbella
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Cantoria
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Atlético Porcuna
6–1
W
6 Sep
@ UD San Pedro
0–1
L
3 May
vs Melilla
3–3
D
26 Apr
@ Puente Genil
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Granada II – last 6
WLWDDW
27 Sep
vs Cantoria
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Atlético Porcuna
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs UD San Pedro
4–0
W
6 Sep
@ Alhaurino
0–0
D
10 May
vs Mijas Las Lagunas
4–4
D
3 May
@ Marbelli
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Málaga II and Granada II.
What is the prediction for Málaga II vs Granada II?
Our pick is Málaga II or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Málaga II vs Granada II?
On our numbers Málaga II have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Granada II 17%.
How many goals will there be in Málaga II vs Granada II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Málaga II vs Granada II?
Our predicted score is Málaga II 1–0 Granada II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Málaga II vs Granada II?
Málaga II vs Granada II (Tercera División RFEF Group 9) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
