Value bet: Parla Escuela to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultParla Escuela to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.28
Alcobendas Sport vs Parla Escuela preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 7 sees Alcobendas Sport take on Parla Escuela on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Alcobendas Sport are 16th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Parla Escuela sit 12th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Alcobendas Sport's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Villanueva Pardillo 2–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Parla Escuela's last 4: DWDL Most recently they drew with Colonia Moscardó 2–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Alcobendas Sport and 1.4 for Parla Escuela. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alcobendas Sport 38%, draw 23%, Parla Escuela 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Parla Escuela to win at 2.80 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Alcobendas Sport 1–1 Parla Escuela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alcobendas Sport38%fair 2.63 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Parla Escuela39%fair 2.56 · @2.80
2.75Expected goals
1.36Alcobendas Sport xG
1.39Parla Escuela xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Alcobendas Sport 1.4 – 1.4 Parla Escuela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Parla Escuela to win✗
39%
2.56
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Parla Escuela / FT Parla Escuela✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.28
–
Form
Alcobendas Sport – last 6
LDLDWL
27 Sep
@ Villanueva Pardillo
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Unión Adarve
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Torrejón
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Fuenlabrada
0–0
D
10 May
@ Leganés II
2–1
W
3 May
vs Trival Valderas
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Parla Escuela – last 4
DWDL
27 Sep
vs Colonia Moscardó
2–2
D
20 Sep
@ SS Reyes II
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Trival Valderas
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ RC Alcobendas
2–5
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcobendas Sport and Parla Escuela.
What is the prediction for Alcobendas Sport vs Parla Escuela?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Alcobendas Sport vs Parla Escuela?
On our numbers Alcobendas Sport have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Parla Escuela 39%.
How many goals will there be in Alcobendas Sport vs Parla Escuela?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcobendas Sport vs Parla Escuela?
Our predicted score is Alcobendas Sport 1–1 Parla Escuela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alcobendas Sport vs Parla Escuela?
Alcobendas Sport vs Parla Escuela (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
