Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Trival Valderas or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Trival Valderas to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTrival Valderas to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceTrival Valderas or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.74
Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 7 sees Real Aranjuez take on Trival Valderas on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Real Aranjuez are 13th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Trival Valderas sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Real Aranjuez's last 4: DLLL Most recently they drew with RC Alcobendas 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 3.5 conceded.
Trival Valderas's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Pozuelo Alarcón 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Trival Valderas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for Real Aranjuez and 1.7 for Trival Valderas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Aranjuez 18%, draw 25%, Trival Valderas 57%.
Safer route: Trival Valderas or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Trival Valderas to win at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Trival Valderas or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Real Aranjuez 0–1 Trival Valderas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Aranjuez18%fair 5.62 · @3.50
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.25
Trival Valderas57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
2.59Expected goals
0.87Real Aranjuez xG
1.73Trival Valderas xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Real Aranjuez 0.9 – 1.7 Trival Valderas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trival Valderas to win✓
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Trival Valderas or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trival Valderas / FT Trival Valderas✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.74
–
Form
Real Aranjuez – last 4
DLLL
20 Sep
@ RC Alcobendas
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Galapagar
2–5
L
6 Sep
@ Leganés II
0–2
L
2 Sep
vs Deportivo Alavés III
1–6
L
1.0Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Trival Valderas – last 6
DDWLDW
20 Sep
vs Pozuelo Alarcón
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Parla Escuela
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Villanueva Pardillo
3–1
W
20 Jun
@ La Nucía
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs La Nucía
0–0
D
7 Jun
vs Las Rozas
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Aranjuez and Trival Valderas.
What is the prediction for Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas?
Our pick is Trival Valderas or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas?
On our numbers Real Aranjuez have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Trival Valderas 57%.
How many goals will there be in Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas?
Our predicted score is Real Aranjuez 0–1 Trival Valderas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas?
Real Aranjuez vs Trival Valderas (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
