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Galapagar vs Las Rozas prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLas Rozas to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 15.21

Galapagar vs Las Rozas preview and prediction

The match

Las Rozas travel to face Galapagar in the Tercera División RFEF Group 7 on Sunday 20 September (15:30 WAT). Galapagar are 4th with 18 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Las Rozas sit 3rd on 18 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Galapagar's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Real Aranjuez 5–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.

Las Rozas's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Leganés II 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Galapagar 3–1 Las Rozas.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 2.2 for Galapagar and 2.3 for Las Rozas. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 83% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Galapagar 2–2 Las Rozas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Galapagar35%fair 2.89 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.10
Las Rozas41%fair 2.42 · @2.25
4.50Expected goals
2.16Galapagar xG
2.34Las Rozas xG
66%Both score
83%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–27%
1–27%
2–16%
1–16%
2–36%
1–35%

From our goals model: Galapagar 2.2 – 2.3 Las Rozas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLas Rozas to win ✗41%2.422.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.67 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Half-time resultLas Rozas ahead at half-time ✗37%2.73–
Half-time / full-timeHT Las Rozas / FT Las Rozas ✗27%3.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%15.21–

Form

Galapagar – last 6

WDWWLL
12 Sep@ Real Aranjuez5–2W
6 Sepvs Pozuelo Alarcón1–1D
10 Mayvs Las Rozas3–1W
3 May@ AD Parla5–0W
26 Apr@ Unión Adarve1–3L
19 Aprvs Alcorcón II0–2L
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Las Rozas – last 6

WWLDWW
13 Sepvs Leganés II3–2W
5 Sep@ Cala Pozuelo3–1W
7 Jun@ Trival Valderas1–3L
31 Mayvs Trival Valderas1–1D
24 May@ Torrejón3–0W
17 Mayvs Torrejón1–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Galapagar v Las Rozas3–1
Galapagar vs Las Rozas head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 7 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Móstoles10721+1723
2Colonia Moscardó10460+1018
3Las Rozas10532+518
4Galapagar10532+518
5Cala Pozuelo10523+217
6Unión Adarve10442+416
7Leganés II10433+715
8Trival Valderas10361+315
9Pozuelo Alarcón10433-315
10Torrejón10424+714
11Fuenlabrada10343+113
12Parla Escuela10244-410
13Real Aranjuez10244-610
14Rayo Vallecano II10235-59
15RC Alcobendas10235-79
16Alcobendas Sport10145-47
17SS Reyes II10217-137
18Villanueva Pardillo10217-197

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Galapagar vs Las Rozas?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Galapagar vs Las Rozas?

On our numbers Galapagar have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Las Rozas 41%.

How many goals will there be in Galapagar vs Las Rozas?

We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Galapagar vs Las Rozas?

Our predicted score is Galapagar 2–2 Las Rozas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.

When is Galapagar vs Las Rozas?

Galapagar vs Las Rozas (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.