Value bet: Hércules II to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultHércules II to win36% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win71% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 13.31
Buñol vs Hércules II preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 6 sees Buñol take on Hércules II on Wednesday 18 November, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT). Buñol are 10th with 12 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Hércules II sit 4th on 16 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Buñol's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Utiel 3–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Hércules II's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Soneja 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hércules II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Buñol and 1.1 for Hércules II. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Buñol 34%, draw 29%, Hércules II 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Hércules II to win at 3.25 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our prediction: Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.54. Predicted score: Buñol 0–1 Hércules II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Buñol34%fair 2.92 · @2.15
Draw29%fair 3.40 · @2.96
Hércules II36%fair 2.75 · @3.25
2.10Expected goals
0.98Buñol xG
1.12Hércules II xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Buñol 1.0 – 1.1 Hércules II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Buñol
Hércules II
Attack vs Tercera División RFEF Group 6 average
+6%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
-33%
Our expected goals here
0.89
1.12
Our own ratings from every Tercera División RFEF Group 6 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hércules II to win
36%
2.75
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
71%
1.42
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.84
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.60
1.54
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.16
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hércules II / FT Hércules II
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
13.31
–
Form
Buñol – last 6
DWWLLL
8 Nov
@ Utiel
3–3
D
31 Oct
vs Vall de Uxó
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Crevillente
1–0
W
9 Oct
@ Villarreal III
1–3
L
4 Oct
vs Torrent
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ Ontinyent 1931
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hércules II – last 6
WDDWWW
8 Nov
vs Soneja
1–0
W
1 Nov
@ Acero
0–0
D
24 Oct
vs Vall de Uxó
1–1
D
9 Oct
@ Torrent
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Eldense B
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Atzeneta
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buñol and Hércules II.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.54.
Who will win Buñol vs Hércules II?
On our numbers Buñol have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Hércules II 36%.
How many goals will there be in Buñol vs Hércules II?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buñol vs Hércules II?
Our predicted score is Buñol 0–1 Hércules II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Buñol vs Hércules II?
Buñol vs Hércules II (Tercera División RFEF Group 6) kicks off on Wednesday 18 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
