Value bet: Montañesa to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMontañesa to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.83
Martinenc vs Montañesa preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 5 sees Martinenc take on Montañesa on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Martinenc are 12th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Montañesa sit 4th on 17 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Martinenc's last 4: LDDW Most recently they lost to L'Escala 2–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Montañesa's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Europa II 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Martinenc and 1.4 for Montañesa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Montañesa to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Martinenc 1–1 Montañesa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Martinenc34%fair 2.96 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.75
Montañesa40%fair 2.49 · @2.70
2.75Expected goals
1.31Martinenc xG
1.44Montañesa xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Martinenc 1.3 – 1.4 Montañesa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montañesa to win✗
40%
2.49
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montañesa / FT Montañesa✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.83
–
Form
Martinenc – last 4
LDDW
27 Sep
@ L'Escala
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Europa II
3–3
D
13 Sep
@ Grama
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Badalona
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Montañesa – last 6
LWWWLL
27 Sep
@ Europa II
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Grama
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Badalona
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs San Juan Atletico de Montcada
3–0
W
10 May
@ Peralada
0–5
L
3 May
vs Vic
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Martinenc and Montañesa.
What is the prediction for Martinenc vs Montañesa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Martinenc vs Montañesa?
On our numbers Martinenc have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Montañesa 40%.
How many goals will there be in Martinenc vs Montañesa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Martinenc vs Montañesa?
Our predicted score is Martinenc 1–1 Montañesa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Martinenc vs Montañesa?
Martinenc vs Montañesa (Tercera División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
