The Tercera División RFEF Group 5 sees Tona take on Badalona on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT). Tona are 8th with 14 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Badalona sit 3rd on 17 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tona's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to San Juan Atletico de Montcada 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Badalona's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat San Cristóbal 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Badalona arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished Badalona 0–0 Tona.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.9 for Tona and 1.5 for Badalona. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tona 23%, draw 22%, Badalona 55%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Badalona to win – a 55% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tona 0–1 Badalona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tona23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.20
Badalona55%fair 1.81 · @1.95
2.38Expected goals
0.85Tona xG
1.53Badalona xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
0–09%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Tona 0.9 – 1.5 Badalona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Badalona to win with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Tona vs Badalona?
On our numbers Tona have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Badalona 55%.
How many goals will there be in Tona vs Badalona?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tona vs Badalona?
Our predicted score is Tona 0–1 Badalona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tona vs Badalona?
Tona vs Badalona (Tercera División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
