Value bet: Vilassar Mar to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBadalona to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.59
Vilassar Mar vs Badalona preview and prediction
The match
Vilassar Mar host Badalona in the Tercera División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT). Vilassar Mar are 13th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Badalona sit 3rd on 17 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Vilassar Mar's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to San Juan Atletico de Montcada 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Badalona's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Montañesa 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Vilassar Mar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Badalona 0–0 Vilassar Mar.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Vilassar Mar and 1.1 for Badalona. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vilassar Mar 32%, draw 24%, Badalona 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Vilassar Mar to win at 3.40 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Vilassar Mar 1–1 Badalona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vilassar Mar32%fair 3.15 · @3.40
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @2.80
Badalona44%fair 2.25 · @2.15
2.00Expected goals
0.88Vilassar Mar xG
1.12Badalona xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Vilassar Mar 0.9 – 1.1 Badalona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vilassar Mar vs Badalona?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Vilassar Mar vs Badalona?
On our numbers Vilassar Mar have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Badalona 44%.
How many goals will there be in Vilassar Mar vs Badalona?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vilassar Mar vs Badalona?
Our predicted score is Vilassar Mar 1–1 Badalona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Vilassar Mar vs Badalona?
Vilassar Mar vs Badalona (Tercera División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
