Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEscobedo to win ✓66% · @1.60
Double chanceEscobedo or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.43
Escobedo vs Selaya preview and prediction
The match
Escobedo host Selaya in the Tercera División RFEF Group 3 on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT). Escobedo are 15th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Selaya sit 16th on 7 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Escobedo's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Laredo 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Selaya's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Atlético Albericia 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Selaya 2–0 Escobedo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Escobedo and 0.5 for Selaya. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 57% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Escobedo 66%, draw 21%, Selaya 13%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Escobedo to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Escobedo 1–0 Selaya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Escobedo66%fair 1.52 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.60
Selaya13%fair 7.83 · @4.75
2.20Expected goals
1.66Escobedo xG
0.54Selaya xG
41%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Escobedo 1.7 – 0.5 Selaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Escobedo to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Escobedo vs Selaya?
On our numbers Escobedo have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Selaya 13%.
How many goals will there be in Escobedo vs Selaya?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Escobedo vs Selaya?
Our predicted score is Escobedo 1–0 Selaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Escobedo vs Selaya?
Escobedo vs Selaya (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
