Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGijón Industrial to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.39
Gijón Industrial vs Astur preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 2 sees Gijón Industrial take on Astur on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Gijón Industrial are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Astur sit 16th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Gijón Industrial's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Andes 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Astur's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Mosconia 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Gijón Industrial arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Gijón Industrial and 0.9 for Astur. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Our pre-match pick was Gijón Industrial to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gijón Industrial 1–0 Astur. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gijón Industrial58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.20
Astur21%fair 4.72 · @3.90
2.50Expected goals
1.65Gijón Industrial xG
0.85Astur xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Gijón Industrial 1.6 – 0.9 Astur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gijón Industrial to win✗
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gijón Industrial / FT Gijón Industrial✗
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.39
–
Form
Gijón Industrial – last 6
WLDLWW
4 Oct
@ Andes
3–0
W
27 Sep
vs Condal
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Llanes
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Mosconia
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs San Martín
2–0
W
26 Apr
vs Ceares
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Astur – last 5
DDLLL
4 Oct
vs Mosconia
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ San Martín
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Siero
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Colunga
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Caudal
0–3
L
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gijón Industrial and Astur.
What is the prediction for Gijón Industrial vs Astur?
Our pick is Gijón Industrial to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Gijón Industrial vs Astur?
On our numbers Gijón Industrial have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Astur 21%.
How many goals will there be in Gijón Industrial vs Astur?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gijón Industrial vs Astur?
Our predicted score is Gijón Industrial 1–0 Astur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gijón Industrial vs Astur?
Gijón Industrial vs Astur (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.