Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: L'Entregu to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultL'Entregu to win ✗64% · @1.91
Double chanceL'Entregu or draw ✓87% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.96
L'Entregu vs Colunga preview and prediction
The match
L'Entregu host Colunga in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2 on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). L'Entregu are 17th with 5 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Colunga sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
L'Entregu's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Caudal 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Colunga's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Covadonga 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Colunga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished L'Entregu 0–0 Colunga.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for L'Entregu and 0.9 for Colunga. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Value angle: L'Entregu to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was L'Entregu or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: L'Entregu 2–0 Colunga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
L'Entregu64%fair 1.56 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.30
Colunga13%fair 7.65 · @3.40
3.00Expected goals
2.12L'Entregu xG
0.88Colunga xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: L'Entregu 2.1 – 0.9 Colunga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is L'Entregu or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win L'Entregu vs Colunga?
On our numbers L'Entregu have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Colunga 13%.
How many goals will there be in L'Entregu vs Colunga?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for L'Entregu vs Colunga?
Our predicted score is L'Entregu 2–0 Colunga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is L'Entregu vs Colunga?
L'Entregu vs Colunga (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
