Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSarriana to win ✗45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.76
Alondras vs Sarriana preview and prediction
The match
Sarriana travel to face Alondras in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 20 September (17:30 WAT). Alondras are 12th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Sarriana sit 2nd on 18 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Alondras's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Antela 2–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Sarriana's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Viveiro 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.8 for Alondras and 2.2 for Sarriana. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 62%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alondras 1–2 Sarriana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alondras33%fair 3.04 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.00
Sarriana45%fair 2.24 · @2.40
4.00Expected goals
1.85Alondras xG
2.15Sarriana xG
62%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Alondras 1.8 – 2.2 Sarriana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarriana to win✗
45%
2.24
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Sarriana ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarriana / FT Sarriana✗
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.76
–
Form
Alondras – last 6
WLDWLD
13 Sep
@ Antela
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Pontevedra II
2–6
L
12 Apr
vs Silva
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Celtiga
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Somozas
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Cambados
3–3
D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sarriana – last 6
WWLLDW
13 Sep
vs Viveiro
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Estradense
3–1
W
3 May
vs Racing Santander II
3–4
L
26 Apr
@ Atlético Astorga
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Numancia
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Salamanca UDS
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alondras and Sarriana.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Alondras vs Sarriana?
On our numbers Alondras have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sarriana 45%.
How many goals will there be in Alondras vs Sarriana?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alondras vs Sarriana?
Our predicted score is Alondras 1–2 Sarriana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Alondras vs Sarriana?
Alondras vs Sarriana (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
