Aston Villa W vs Newcastle United W prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Aston Villa W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAston Villa W to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.47
Aston Villa W vs Newcastle United W preview and prediction
The match
Newcastle United W travel to Bescot Stadium in the WSL Cup on Wednesday 30 September (19:30 WAT) to face Aston Villa W.
Form guide
Aston Villa W's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Tottenham Hotspur W 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Newcastle United W's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Leicester City FC W 4–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Newcastle United W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for Aston Villa W and 0.6 for Newcastle United W. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aston Villa W 62%, draw 13%, Newcastle United W 26%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aston Villa W to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aston Villa W 1–0 Newcastle United W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aston Villa W62%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw13%fair 7.80 · @3.75
Newcastle United W26%fair 3.90 · @3.00
2.00Expected goals
1.35Aston Villa W xG
0.65Newcastle United W xG
56%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Aston Villa W 1.4 – 0.6 Newcastle United W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aston Villa W to win✓
62%
1.63
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aston Villa W / FT Aston Villa W✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.47
–
Form
Aston Villa W – last 6
LWDLDL
27 Sep
@ Tottenham Hotspur W
0–4
L
23 Sep
@ Nottingham Forest W
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Brighton W
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Manchester City W
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Chelsea W
1–1
D
9 May
vs Arsenal W
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Newcastle United W – last 6
WWWWLD
27 Sep
vs Leicester City FC W
4–0
W
20 Sep
vs Sheffield United W
4–1
W
12 Sep
@ Bristol City W
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Wolverhampton W
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Bristol City W
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Nottingham Forest W
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aston Villa W and Newcastle United W.
What is the prediction for Aston Villa W vs Newcastle United W?
Our pick is Aston Villa W to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Aston Villa W vs Newcastle United W?
On our numbers Aston Villa W have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Newcastle United W 26%.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa W vs Newcastle United W?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa W vs Newcastle United W?
Our predicted score is Aston Villa W 1–0 Newcastle United W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Aston Villa W vs Newcastle United W?
Aston Villa W vs Newcastle United W (WSL Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Bescot Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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