Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerro Porteno to win ✓66% · @1.36
Double chanceCerro Porteno or draw ✓86% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.49
Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno preview and prediction
The match
Resistencia host Cerro Porteno in the Copa Paraguay on Thursday 27 August, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Resistencia's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with SOL DE America 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cerro Porteno's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Olimpia 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Resistencia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Resistencia and 2.0 for Cerro Porteno. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.85 – 57% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Resistencia 0–2 Cerro Porteno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Resistencia14%fair 6.90 · @7.50
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.20
Cerro Porteno66%fair 1.53 · @1.36
2.87Expected goals
0.83Resistencia xG
2.04Cerro Porteno xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Resistencia 0.8 – 2.0 Cerro Porteno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerro Porteno to win✓
66%
1.53
1.36
Double chance
Cerro Porteno or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Half-time result
Cerro Porteno ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerro Porteno / FT Cerro Porteno✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.49
–
Form
Resistencia – last 6
DWDWWL
21 Aug
@ SOL DE America
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Deportivo Capiata
1–0
W
7 Aug
@ Independiente F.b.c.
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Tacuary
3–1
W
28 Jul
@ Atlético Tembetary
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Benjamín Aceval
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cerro Porteno – last 6
LLWDLW
23 Aug
@ Olimpia
1–2
L
19 Aug
vs Palmeiras
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1–0
W
12 Aug
@ Palmeiras
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Sportivo Ameliano
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Sportivo Luqueno
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Resistencia and Cerro Porteno.
What is the prediction for Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno?
On our numbers Resistencia have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cerro Porteno 66%.
How many goals will there be in Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno?
Our predicted score is Resistencia 0–2 Cerro Porteno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno?
Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno (Copa Paraguay) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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