Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo La Guaira to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo La Guaira to win ✓47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.23
Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira preview and prediction
The match
Caracas FC host Deportivo La Guaira in the Primera División on Monday 10 August, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT). Caracas FC are 2nd with 6 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Deportivo La Guaira sit 2nd on 6 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Caracas FC's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Puerto Cabello 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Deportivo La Guaira's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Metropolitanos FC 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Caracas FC and 1.3 for Deportivo La Guaira. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caracas FC 30%, draw 23%, Deportivo La Guaira 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Deportivo La Guaira to win at 2.30 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Caracas FC 1–1 Deportivo La Guaira. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caracas FC30%fair 3.32 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Deportivo La Guaira47%fair 2.15 · @2.30
2.22Expected goals
0.95Caracas FC xG
1.28Deportivo La Guaira xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Caracas FC 0.9 – 1.3 Deportivo La Guaira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo La Guaira to win✓
47%
2.15
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo La Guaira / FT Deportivo La Guaira✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.23
–
Form
Caracas FC – last 6
LDLLDL
6 Aug
@ Puerto Cabello
1–3
L
3 Aug
vs Estudiantes de Merida FC
2–2
D
31 Jul
vs Santa Fe
0–3
L
24 Jul
@ Santa Fe
0–2
L
24 Jun
vs Aragua FC
1–1
D
27 May
vs Botafogo
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Deportivo La Guaira – last 6
LLLWLD
5 Aug
vs Metropolitanos FC
1–2
L
31 May
vs Puerto Cabello
0–2
L
28 May
@ Fluminense
1–3
L
23 May
@ Portuguesa FC
2–0
W
21 May
vs Independ. Rivadavia
2–4
L
16 May
vs UCV
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caracas FC and Deportivo La Guaira.
What is the prediction for Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?
On our numbers Caracas FC have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportivo La Guaira 47%.
How many goals will there be in Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Our predicted score is Caracas FC 1–1 Deportivo La Guaira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Caracas FC vs Deportivo La Guaira (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
