The Segunda División sees Oriental take on Atenas on Sunday 9 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT). Oriental are 7th with 34 points from 25 games (in the top half), while Atenas sit 1st on 44 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Oriental's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Paysandu 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Atenas's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Colón 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Atenas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Oriental and 1.2 for Atenas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oriental 41%, draw 24%, Atenas 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Oriental 1–1 Atenas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oriental41%fair 2.44 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.25
Atenas35%fair 2.84 · @2.60
2.55Expected goals
1.34Oriental xG
1.22Atenas xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Oriental 1.3 – 1.2 Atenas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oriental to win✗
41%
2.44
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oriental / FT Oriental✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.61
–
Form
Oriental – last 6
LWDLDD
3 Aug
@ Paysandu
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Sportivo Huracan
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ Uruguay Montevideo
1–1
D
5 Jul
vs CA River Plate
1–2
L
28 Jun
vs Colón
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ Fenix
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atenas – last 6
WLLDWW
3 Aug
vs Colón
4–1
W
26 Jul
@ Fenix
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Rentistas
1–3
L
6 Jul
@ Miramar
1–1
D
27 Jun
vs Tacuarembo
2–0
W
20 Jun
@ Plaza Colonia
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oriental and Atenas.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Oriental vs Atenas?
On our numbers Oriental have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atenas 35%.
How many goals will there be in Oriental vs Atenas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oriental vs Atenas?
Our predicted score is Oriental 1–1 Atenas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Oriental vs Atenas?
Oriental vs Atenas (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
