Value bet: Ghazl El Mehalla to win @ 2.70 – our chance 43% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGhazl El Mehalla to win ✓43% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.70
Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Abu Qair Semad take on Ghazl El Mehalla on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Abu Qair Semad are 19th with 4 points from 8 games (in the bottom three), while Ghazl El Mehalla sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Abu Qair Semad's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with AL Masry 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Ghazl El Mehalla's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Al Ittihad 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ghazl El Mehalla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 October 2026, finished Ghazl El Mehalla 1–1 Abu Qair Semad.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Abu Qair Semad and 1.1 for Ghazl El Mehalla. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Abu Qair Semad 32%, draw 26%, Ghazl El Mehalla 43%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Ghazl El Mehalla to win at 2.70 – 43% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Abu Qair Semad 0–1 Ghazl El Mehalla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Abu Qair Semad32%fair 3.15 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.62
Ghazl El Mehalla43%fair 2.35 · @2.70
2.00Expected goals
0.90Abu Qair Semad xG
1.10Ghazl El Mehalla xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Abu Qair Semad 0.9 – 1.1 Ghazl El Mehalla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
On our numbers Abu Qair Semad have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ghazl El Mehalla 43%.
How many goals will there be in Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Our predicted score is Abu Qair Semad 0–1 Ghazl El Mehalla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
