Value bet: Al Ittihad to win @ 2.60 – our chance 47% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Ittihad to win ✗47% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.69
Al Ittihad vs El Geish preview and prediction
The match
Al Ittihad host El Geish in the Premier League on Friday 30 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Borg El Arab Stadium. Al Ittihad are 5th with 14 points from 8 games (in the top half), while El Geish sit 14th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Al Ittihad's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Ghazl El Mehalla 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
El Geish's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Pyramids FC 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Al Ittihad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 May 2026, finished Al Ittihad 1–0 El Geish.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Al Ittihad and 1.0 for El Geish. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Ittihad 47%, draw 26%, El Geish 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Al Ittihad to win at 2.60 – 47% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.30, above our fair price of 1.90, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Ittihad 1–1 El Geish. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Ittihad47%fair 2.14 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.62
El Geish28%fair 3.62 · @3.00
2.36Expected goals
1.38Al Ittihad xG
0.98El Geish xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–09%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Al Ittihad 1.4 – 1.0 El Geish expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.
Who will win Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
On our numbers Al Ittihad have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and El Geish 28%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
Our predicted score is Al Ittihad 1–1 El Geish, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Al Ittihad vs El Geish?
Al Ittihad vs El Geish (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Borg El Arab Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
